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Congo clings to IMF support amid conflict, fiscal and debt strain

IMF still bets on Congo, debt and all
The International Monetary Fund headquarters in Washington

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  • Amarachi Orjiude-Ndibe

    Amarachi is a finance writer with a knack for turning complex economic data into compelling stories. With over half a decade of writing experienceโ€”spanning content creation, journalism, and on-the-ground reportingโ€”she found herself in finance by accident but stayed for the thrill of decoding numbers that shape economies. Now, she covers the policies, trends, and market shifts that drive Africaโ€™s financial landscape, making crucial information accessible to readers across the continent.

    At Finance In Africa, Amarachi delivers sharp, data-driven insights tailored for bankers, investors, and finance professionals. She analyses central bank policies, fiscal reforms, and regulatory shifts, translating their impact into actionable intelligence. Her coverage spans banking performance, inflation, currency movements, capital markets, fixed income, and corporate earningsโ€”helping industry players navigate risks and opportunities with confidence.

    Connect with her on LinkedIn: Amarachi Orjiude-Ndibe.

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Despite a surging debt burden, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is pushing ahead with efforts to secure fresh financial support from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF announced on Tuesday that it had reached a staff-level agreement with Congolese authorities on the first review of the countryโ€™s three-year Extended Credit Facility (ECF) programme.ย 

If approved by the IMFโ€™s Executive Boardโ€”tentatively scheduled for the end of June 2025โ€”the agreement will unlock continued funding for the DRCโ€™s economic reform agenda.

This comes as the countryโ€™s debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to have risen to 91%, โ€” the fifth highest in Sub Saharan Africaโ€” according to the latest data from the IMF.ย ย 

The figure marks a steep climb for the central African nation, highlighting the financial strain of escalating security and social spending.

The IMF acknowledged that the DRC is grappling with severe economic challenges.ย 

Since late 2024, armed conflict in the eastern part of the country has intensified, claiming thousands of lives and displacing many more.ย 

The violence has not only deepened humanitarian concerns but also disrupted key revenue streams, including the closure of tax offices in conflict zones.

Despite the turmoil, Congoโ€™s economy has shown surprising resilience.ย 

GDP growth reached 6.5% in 2024, and is projected to remain above 5% this year, buoyed by the robust performance of the extractive sector.

Inflation has also eased to single digits for the first time since July 2022, helped by a stable exchange rate and tighter monetary policy.

However, fiscal pressures have mounted. The government overspent in 2024, largely due to a surge in exceptional security costs, infrastructure spending, and transfers to provinces.ย 

Although revenue collection remained strong, it was not enough to prevent the domestic fiscal deficit from exceeding its ceiling.ย 

Budgetary constraints are expected to persist in 2025, especially after the government doubled salaries for the military and police to shore up morale.

The IMFโ€™s continued backing hinges on the DRCโ€™s commitment to reform.ย 

In addition to the ECF programme, the Fund is urging the government to stay on course with policy changes under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), aimed at boosting climate resilience and positioning the DRC as a key player in the global green transition.

While the IMFโ€™s support offers a crucial financial lifeline, the road ahead for Congo remains fraught, as the government balances urgent security needs with structural economic reform.

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